RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

AGCO

AGCOB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Q2 adjusted EPS increased year over year, and management reported share gains in high-horsepower North America plus continued precision-agriculture progress. Inventory reduction and cost actions could support earnings resilience if demand stabilizes.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
What can break
Dealer inventory and production reductions could weigh on near-term revenue and operating leverage.
Momentum
30
Value
64
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $103.00 · Bull $123.00 · Bear $88.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $123.79
Why
Momentum30 · Δ7d +4.2
Value64 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment53 · Δ7d -4.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Dealer inventory and production reductions could weigh on near-term revenue and operating leverage.
  • • Europe and Latin America remain weak, while financing costs and tighter credit may restrain larger-equipment demand.
  • • The earnings follow-up is fundamentally negative: management cited softer equipment demand, delayed purchases, tariff and input-cost pressure, weak Europe and Latin America conditions, and limited visibility into recovery.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · BMO

Post-earnings guidance reset remains negative

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
30
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.2
Δ21d
-56.9
Value
64
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
+0.8
Sentiment
53
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.2
Δ21d
+0.4
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 29.7 / Value 64.2 / Sentiment 53.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$123.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$103.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$88.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$7.3B
Beta
1.19
Shares Out
70.03M
P/E (TTM)
21.2
P/S (TTM)
0.79
P/FCF (TTM)
11.98
Rev YoY
-1.0%
EPS YoY
-74.3%
Gross Margin
+24.6%
Op Margin
+6.6%
Net Debt
$1.76B
Current Ratio
1.32
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data