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AG

First Majestic SilverC
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Sustained silver rally, improved margins and successful resource/project execution materially boost cash flow and trigger a re-rate toward the upper analyst range.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Liquidity strain or dilutive refinancing under weak prices
Momentum
98
Value
63
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $18.70 · Bull $28.00 · Bear $12.50Analysis 2026-01-21; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-21 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $24.82
Why
Momentum98 · Δ7d +4.8
Value63 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment54 · Δ7d +0.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Liquidity strain or dilutive refinancing under weak prices
  • • Major production shortfall or mine outage
  • • Protracted silver-price weakness, rising costs or operational/permitting setbacks compress cash flow and force valuation toward the analyst low.

Catalyst clock

2026-03-31

Q4 2025 / FY2025 results & 2026 guidance (estimated)

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
98
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.8
Δ21d
+42.5
Value
63
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+9.0
Sentiment
54
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
-12.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 97.5 / Value 62.8 / Sentiment 54.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-21. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$18.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$12.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$9.66B
Beta
1.52
Shares Out
492.91M
P/E (TTM)
139.0
P/S (TTM)
8.67
P/FCF (TTM)
58.44
Rev YoY
+57.2%
EPS YoY
+104.8%
Gross Margin
+49.6%
Op Margin
+44.0%
Net Debt
-$665.08M
Current Ratio
2.57
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data