RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

AFYA

AfyaA
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Afya combines mid-single-digit operating growth, pricing gains, seat expansion, strong cash conversion, and a broad physician ecosystem. The packet's median analyst target of $17.24 is above the $14.68 anchor price.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.9.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA margin contracted 190 basis points because of higher sales and marketing investment.
Momentum
61
Value
71
Sentiment
83
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $16.80 · Bull $19.50 · Bear $12.50Analysis 2026-09-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $17.38
Why
Momentum61 · Δ7d +30.5
Value71 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment83 · Δ7d +3.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adjusted EBITDA margin contracted 190 basis points because of higher sales and marketing investment.
  • • Analyst estimate revisions and detailed post-earnings market reaction are unavailable.
  • • The 190-basis-point margin contraction shows that the current investment cycle is pressuring profitability.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-30

Q2/1H26 earnings digestion

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
61
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+30.5
Δ21d
+42.7
Value
71
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.3
Sentiment
83
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.9
Δ21d
+1.0
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 61.3 / Value 71.3 / Sentiment 83.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$19.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$16.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$12.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.26B
Beta
0.51
Shares Out
91.45M
P/E (TTM)
10.2
P/S (TTM)
2.11
P/FCF (TTM)
6.28
Rev YoY
+18.6%
EPS YoY
+30.7%
Gross Margin
+64.0%
Op Margin
+32.5%
Net Debt
$364M
Current Ratio
2.20
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data