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AEO

American Eagle OutfittersC
NYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
View Chart
Current thesis
The bull case is that Aerie keeps comping strongly, the quarter's record revenue and higher gross margin prove the portfolio can still lever operating income, and the FY2026 operating income guide of $390M-$410M remains intact [#8-K-2026-05-28].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.
What can break
American Eagle comparable sales fell 2%, showing the core brand reset is still incomplete.
Momentum
34
Value
60
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $20.00 · Bull $26.00 · Bear $14.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $19.50
Why
Momentum34 · Δ7d -4.2
Value60 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment53 · Δ7d -5.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
34
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.2
Δ21d
-24.4
Value
60
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
53
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.5
Δ21d
+3.4
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 34.4 / Value 60.4 / Sentiment 53.2

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$2.85B
Beta
1.40
Shares Out
167.57M
P/E (TTM)
23.0
P/S (TTM)
0.85
P/FCF (TTM)
67.41
Rev YoY
+9.7%
EPS YoY
-137.8%
Gross Margin
+34.8%
Op Margin
+5.1%
Net Debt
$1.5B
Current Ratio
1.55
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology