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Advantage SolutionsF
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Sustained recovery in CPG promotional spend, successful margin capture from efficiency programs, and meaningful deleveraging produce revenue growth and multiple expansion toward published analyst highs (bull target).
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
What can break
Concentration with large retail clients and sensitivity to promotional cycles
Momentum
18
Value
65
Sentiment
0
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $1.52 · Bull $2.04 · Bear $0.30Analysis 2026-03-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-03-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $42.00
Why
Momentum18 · Δ7d +4.4
Value65 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment0 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Concentration with large retail clients and sensitivity to promotional cycles
  • • Execution risk on cost savings and margin-recovery initiatives
  • • Prolonged weakness in retailer orders, client losses, or a liquidity shortfall drive cash-flow stress and push the stock into a distressed trading range near the bear target (0.30).

Catalyst clock

2026-06-02

Analyst re-rating / target updates

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
18
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.4
Δ21d
+8.9
Value
65
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
0
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 18.3 / Value 65.2 / Sentiment 0.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-03-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$2.04
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$1.52
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$0.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$401.85M
Beta
2.14
Shares Out
12.82M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-1.8
P/S (TTM)
0.08
P/FCF (TTM)
7.18
Rev YoY
+1.8%
EPS YoY
+106.9%
Gross Margin
+7.7%
Op Margin
+2.4%
Net Debt
$1.45B
Current Ratio
1.79
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data