B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ADUS
Addus HomeCareANasdaq / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 results showed durable operating momentum, with 8.0% revenue growth, 16.1% adjusted EPS growth, 11.9% adjusted EBITDA growth, and $40.0 million of operating cash flow [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.0.
What can break
Government, managed-care, and reimbursement exposure could pressure growth or margins.
Momentum
74
Value
65
Sentiment
68
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $130.00 · Bull $145.00 · Bear $100.00Analysis 2026-08-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-17 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-17
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-17
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-17. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $133.69
Why
Momentum74 · Δ7d +0.2
Value65 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment68 · Δ7d -2.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Government, managed-care, and reimbursement exposure could pressure growth or margins.
- • No quantified new forward guidance or detailed post-earnings outlook is available in the packet.
- • The positive print is not yet a high-conviction rerating signal because no verified post-earnings estimate revisions, target changes, or attributable market-reaction explanation are available.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-03
Q2 2026 results confirm solid operating momentum
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
74
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
+12.6
Value
65
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
68
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.0
Δ21d
-1.4
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 74.4 / Value 65.2 / Sentiment 68.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-06. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$130.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$100.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.15B
Beta
0.91
Shares Out
18.67M
P/E (TTM)
23.5
P/S (TTM)
1.50
P/FCF (TTM)
21.02
Rev YoY
+8.0%
EPS YoY
+24.2%
Gross Margin
+31.2%
Op Margin
+10.9%
Net Debt
$89.75M
Current Ratio
1.69
As of 2026-09-17 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data