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ADUR

Aduro CleanD
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The bull case is that recent company disclosures show the story is advancing from concept toward integrated pilot operations, site selection, early offtake framing, and a possible licensing model, while the February 28, 2026 cash balance of C$39.4 million gives Aduro more room to run its scale-up plan [#PR-2026-04-15].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.5.
What can break
FOAK development at Chemelot still faces permitting, financing, construction, commissioning, and feedstock-market risks [#PR-2026-01-29][#PR-2026-03-19].
Momentum
41
Value
34
Sentiment
49
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $11.50 · Bull $16.50 · Bear $7.50Analysis 2026-04-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-31 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $29.46
Why
Momentum41 · Δ7d -11.8
Value34 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment49 · Δ7d +6.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • FOAK development at Chemelot still faces permitting, financing, construction, commissioning, and feedstock-market risks [#PR-2026-01-29][#PR-2026-03-19].
  • • Operating progress at pilot scale does not yet establish commercial yields, margins, or durable customer demand under real industrial conditions.
  • • The bear case is that revenue remains negligible and non-recurring, the key commercial agreements disclosed are non-binding, and the MD&A still frames future execution around technology scale-up, permitting, financing, customer adoption, and additional capital-raising risk rather than proven commercial demand [#6K-2026-04-15].

Catalyst clock

2026-07-29

NGP pilot campaigns move Aduro from commissioning into operating data generation

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
41
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-11.8
Δ21d
-33.7
Value
34
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
49
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.5
Δ21d
+15.5
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 40.8 / Value 34.2 / Sentiment 48.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-30. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$16.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
0%
Probability
Target price
$11.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$7.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-31
Market Cap
$534.36M
Beta
1.51
Shares Out
33.83M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-26.1
P/S (TTM)
2436.64
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-44.04
Rev YoY
-100.0%
EPS YoY
-48.3%
Gross Margin
-154.7%
Op Margin
-5483.8%
Net Debt
-$4.94M
Current Ratio
75.10
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data