B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$300.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ADSK
AutodeskCNasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 execution exceeded the high end of guidance, revenue growth remained strong across major product families, and Autodesk raised fiscal 2027 billings and revenue expectations. MaintainX and Autodesk's connected-data and AI strategy could extend the platform into operations.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.2.
What can break
AI monetization and customer adoption may lag strategic expectations
Momentum
62
Value
56
Sentiment
45
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $220.00 · Bull $300.00 · Bear $175.00Analysis 2026-09-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $311.09
Why
Momentum62 · Δ7d +6.8
Value56 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment45 · Δ7d -6.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • AI monetization and customer adoption may lag strategic expectations
- • Analyst revisions, consensus surprise data, and post-earnings market attribution are unavailable
- • MaintainX may dilute margins, sales reorganization could disrupt execution, and AI monetization and integration benefits remain unproven.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-27
Q2 FY2027 beat and raised outlook
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
62
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.8
Δ21d
+37.6
Value
56
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
-0.6
Sentiment
45
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.5
Δ21d
-28.3
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 62.0 / Value 56.2 / Sentiment 45.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$220.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$175.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-26
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$52.14B
Beta
1.45
Shares Out
209M
P/E (TTM)
56.0
P/S (TTM)
8.88
P/FCF (TTM)
29.38
Rev YoY
+19.6%
EPS YoY
+229.1%
Gross Margin
+85.7%
Op Margin
+22.5%
Net Debt
$137M
Current Ratio
0.83
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data