RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

ADSK

AutodeskB
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Q2 execution exceeded the high end of guidance, revenue growth remained strong across major product families, and Autodesk raised fiscal 2027 billings and revenue expectations. MaintainX and Autodesk's connected-data and AI strategy could extend the platform into operations.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
AI monetization and customer adoption may lag strategic expectations
Momentum
37
Value
56
Sentiment
71
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $220.00 · Bull $300.00 · Bear $175.00Analysis 2026-09-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $315.42
Why
Momentum37 · Δ7d -43.7
Value56 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment71 · Δ7d -5.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bearish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-08.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -5.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • AI monetization and customer adoption may lag strategic expectations
  • • Analyst revisions, consensus surprise data, and post-earnings market attribution are unavailable
  • • MaintainX may dilute margins, sales reorganization could disrupt execution, and AI monetization and integration benefits remain unproven.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-27

Q2 FY2027 beat and raised outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
37
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-43.7
Δ21d
-43.8
Value
56
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
71
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.9
Δ21d
+7.5
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 37.4 / Value 56.4 / Sentiment 70.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$300.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$220.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$175.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$50.99B
Beta
1.45
Shares Out
211M
P/E (TTM)
56.0
P/S (TTM)
8.88
P/FCF (TTM)
29.38
Rev YoY
+19.6%
EPS YoY
+229.1%
Gross Margin
+85.7%
Op Margin
+22.5%
Net Debt
$137M
Current Ratio
0.83
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data