B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$88.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
ADC
Agree RealtyCNYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Continued dividend growth, accretive acquisitions and modest cap-rate compression support multiple expansion toward the bull target.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.4.
What can break
Financing/refinancing stress on acquisitions
Momentum
32
Value
58
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $80.66 · Bull $88.00 · Bear $72.23Analysis 2026-02-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $85.08
Why
Momentum32 · Δ7d -4.5
Value58 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment60 · Δ7d +6.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Financing/refinancing stress on acquisitions
- • Interest-rate sensitivity / cap-rate expansion
- • Rising rates, weaker tenant demand, or adverse refinancing conditions compress multiples and dividends, pushing shares toward the bear target.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-07
Q1 2026 Earnings Release (assumed date)
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
32
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.5
Δ21d
-0.3
Value
58
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+0.3
Sentiment
60
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.4
Δ21d
+4.7
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 32.1 / Value 58.2 / Sentiment 59.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-06. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$80.66
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$72.23
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$9.27B
Beta
0.54
Shares Out
124.38M
P/E (TTM)
42.0
P/S (TTM)
11.99
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
54.91
Rev YoY
+16.8%
EPS YoY
+2.2%
Gross Margin
+54.3%
Op Margin
+48.4%
Net Debt
$3.36B
Current Ratio
0.16
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data