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ACTG

Acacia ResearchB
Nasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
FY2025 showed a real step-up in scale: record revenue of $285.2 million, GAAP net income of $21.7 million, adjusted EBITDA of $77.9 million, and liquid resources of $339.6 million, giving Acacia room to fund acquisitions and absorb volatility [#8-K-2026-03-11] [#10-K-2026-03-12].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.5.
What can break
Acquisition-led growth can disappoint if integration, pricing, or cost-savings assumptions slip.
Momentum
32
Value
53
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.00 · Bull $6.00 · Bear $3.80Analysis 2026-04-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $6.00
Why
Momentum32 · Δ7d -9.8
Value53 · Δ7d -0.3
Sentiment67 · Δ7d +1.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Acquisition-led growth can disappoint if integration, pricing, or cost-savings assumptions slip.
  • • Energy exposure adds well-performance, commodity, and operational variability.
  • • The business mix is still hard to handicap because IP monetization is litigation-driven and volatile, manufacturing was acquisition-boosted, energy adds commodity and execution risk, and the 10-K explicitly warns quarterly performance may be volatile while acquisition integration can fail [#10-K-2026-03-12].

Catalyst clock

2026-05-11

Q1 2026 filing will test whether FY2025 strength is durable

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
32
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.8
Δ21d
-
Value
53
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
+1.2
Sentiment
67
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.5
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 32.3 / Value 53.5 / Sentiment 66.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-15. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$6.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$5.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$3.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$419.62M
Beta
0.57
Shares Out
97.59M
P/E (TTM)
73.0
P/S (TTM)
1.23
P/FCF (TTM)
12.43
Rev YoY
+123.6%
EPS YoY
-101.5%
Gross Margin
+22.2%
Op Margin
-7.0%
Net Debt
-$225.11M
Current Ratio
4.76
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data