B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$80.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
ACMR
ACM ResearchFNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull case: Order recovery and successful backlog conversion drive revenue and margin expansion; sustained bookings and share gains in inspection/packaging would re-rate the stock toward the bull target (80.0).
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.1.
What can break
Backlog conversion delays or customer cancellations
Momentum
54
Value
48
Sentiment
28
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $46.50 · Bull $80.00 · Bear $25.00Analysis 2026-02-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $123.86
Why
Momentum54 · Δ7d -14.7
Value48 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment28 · Δ7d -4.1
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Backlog conversion delays or customer cancellations
- • Cyclical CAPEX downturn reducing orders and pricing
- • Bear case: Prolonged CAPEX weakness, backlog conversion delays, or execution/margin pressure lead to repeated analyst downgrades and valuation drifting toward the bear target (25.0).
Catalyst clock
2026-05-28
Post-earnings analyst revisions
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
54
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-14.7
Δ21d
+22.2
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
28
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.1
Δ21d
+9.2
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 53.6 / Value 48.0 / Sentiment 28.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-27. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$46.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$25.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.96B
Beta
1.47
Shares Out
69.65M
P/E (TTM)
25.8
P/S (TTM)
3.32
P/FCF (TTM)
671.03
Rev YoY
+36.0%
EPS YoY
+180.6%
Gross Margin
+43.8%
Op Margin
+13.3%
Net Debt
-$870.17M
Current Ratio
3.65
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data