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ACGL

Arch Capital GroupB
Nasdaq / Insurance
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
View Chart
Current thesis
Primary-source Q1 results were strong on operating income, reserve development, catastrophe containment, and aggressive buybacks. Group combined ratio improved to 81.7% from 90.1%, and book value per share rose to $66.19, supporting the case that ACGL is still compounding through the cycle rather than defending a broken book.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
What can break
Mortgage segment profitability softened year over year, adding another drag if housing-credit conditions worsen.
Momentum
51
Value
61
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
— · Net —
AI TargetsBase $104.00 · Bull $112.00 · Bear $88.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net —
Target $109.48
Why
Momentum51 · Δ7d +16.9
Value61 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment53 · Δ7d -3.9
So what
Strength-led posture. Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Setup hits not loaded

Load setup hits to see net bias and recent triggers.

Load setup hits
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
51
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+16.9
Δ21d
+31.6
Value
61
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
53
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.9
Δ21d
-5.8
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 51.4 / Value 60.8 / Sentiment 52.7

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$35.41B
Beta
0.42
Shares Out
349.39M
P/E (TTM)
8.8
P/S (TTM)
1.81
P/FCF (TTM)
7.82
Rev YoY
-5.6%
EPS YoY
+95.2%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+21.5%
Net Debt
$818M
Current Ratio
0.47
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology