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ACGL

Arch Capital GroupC
Nasdaq / Insurance
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
View Chart
Current thesis
Primary-source Q1 results were strong on operating income, reserve development, catastrophe containment, and aggressive buybacks. Group combined ratio improved to 81.7% from 90.1%, and book value per share rose to $66.19, supporting the case that ACGL is still compounding through the cycle rather than defending a broken book.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-06-01.
What can break
Mortgage segment profitability softened year over year, adding another drag if housing-credit conditions worsen.
Momentum
37
Value
61
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $104.00 · Bull $112.00 · Bear $88.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals
As of 2026-05-29 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-02
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $108.80
Why
Momentum37 · Δ7d -9.0
Value61 · Δ7d -0.7
Sentiment63 · Δ7d +12.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bearish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
37
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.0
Δ21d
-1.4
Value
61
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
63
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+12.5
Δ21d
+14.8
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 37.4 / Value 60.5 / Sentiment 62.8

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-05-29
Market Cap
$31.21B
Beta
0.42
Shares Out
362.63M
P/E (TTM)
8.8
P/S (TTM)
1.81
P/FCF (TTM)
7.82
Rev YoY
+5.8%
EPS YoY
+39.3%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+21.5%
Net Debt
$1.75B
Current Ratio
-
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology