RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

ABM

ABM IndustriesA
NYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Fiscal Q3 delivered record $2.3 billion revenue, 19% adjusted earnings growth, 11% adjusted EBITDA growth, and $128.4 million of free cash flow. Raised midpoint guidance, accelerated deleveraging, and identifiable ATS, Aviation, and M&D growth drivers support a cautiously positive thesis.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.1.
What can break
ATS deferred projects may not convert on schedule or at the expected margin.
Momentum
55
Value
65
Sentiment
75
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $55.00 · Bull $60.00 · Bear $43.00Analysis 2026-09-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $55.93
Why
Momentum55 · Δ7d +16.5
Value65 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment75 · Δ7d -1.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • ATS deferred projects may not convert on schedule or at the expected margin.
  • • Acquisition-supported growth may obscure weaker organic momentum; fiscal Q3 organic growth was 2.1%.
  • • Organic growth moderated to 2.1%, ATS project timing slipped, and B&I remained pressured.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-31

Fiscal 2026 outlook conversion

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
55
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+16.5
Δ21d
-5.9
Value
65
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+1.1
Sentiment
75
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.1
Δ21d
-2.6
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 55.4 / Value 64.7 / Sentiment 75.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-11. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$55.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$43.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.8B
Beta
0.74
Shares Out
58.58M
P/E (TTM)
16.8
P/S (TTM)
0.30
P/FCF (TTM)
29.32
Rev YoY
+8.4%
EPS YoY
+8.7%
Gross Margin
+11.4%
Op Margin
+4.1%
Net Debt
$1.59B
Current Ratio
1.46
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data