B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$63.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ABM
ABM IndustriesANYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Record fiscal Q3 revenue, stronger nine-month cash generation and the higher adjusted EPS midpoint support a cautiously constructive view if deferred projects convert and contract ramps sustain growth. [#SEC-8K-2026-09-08] SEC earnings exhibit
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.
What can break
A large client's Technical Solutions project deferrals may persist rather than convert in fiscal Q4. SEC earnings exhibit
Momentum
77
Value
62
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $56.50 · Bull $63.00 · Bear $44.00Analysis 2026-10-26; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $55.93
Why
Momentum77 · Δ7d -2.5
Value62 · Δ7d -0.5
Sentiment57 · Δ7d -7.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • A large client's Technical Solutions project deferrals may persist rather than convert in fiscal Q4. SEC earnings exhibit
- • Business & Industry revenue declined 2.6% amid a UK client exit and continued US West Coast softness. SEC earnings exhibit
- • The lower segment-margin outlook, Technical Solutions deferrals, Business & Industry softness and acquisition-related interest expense could offset revenue growth.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-31
Fiscal 2026 outlook faces a year-end test
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
77
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.5
Δ21d
-5.5
Value
62
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
-1.3
Sentiment
57
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.3
Δ21d
-15.4
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 76.7 / Value 62.3 / Sentiment 57.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-26. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$56.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$44.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$3.15B
Beta
0.74
Shares Out
58.61M
P/E (TTM)
16.8
P/S (TTM)
0.30
P/FCF (TTM)
29.32
Rev YoY
+8.4%
EPS YoY
+8.7%
Gross Margin
+11.4%
Op Margin
+4.1%
Net Debt
$1.59B
Current Ratio
1.46
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data