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ABM

ABM IndustriesB
NYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q3 print strengthened the operating case: record revenue, 4.2% growth, 11% adjusted EBITDA growth, strong cash generation, and raised fiscal-year outlook. ATS deferrals resolving and continued M&D/Aviation growth could support further earnings improvement.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.7.
What can break
ATS project deferrals may persist or fail to convert in Q4.
Momentum
50
Value
65
Sentiment
71
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $53.40 · Bull $59.00 · Bear $44.00Analysis 2026-09-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $55.36
Why
Momentum50 · Δ7d +18.2
Value65 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment71 · Δ7d -4.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • ATS project deferrals may persist or fail to convert in Q4.
  • • B&I performance is vulnerable to client exits and regional softness.
  • • The result was broadly in line with pre-print expectations rather than a major surprise, and B&I weakness plus ATS project deferrals leave execution risk.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-08

Q3 results and raised fiscal 2026 outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
50
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+18.2
Δ21d
-13.9
Value
65
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+1.2
Sentiment
71
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.7
Δ21d
-10.7
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 49.6 / Value 64.7 / Sentiment 71.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$59.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$53.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$44.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.8B
Beta
0.74
Shares Out
58.58M
P/E (TTM)
16.8
P/S (TTM)
0.30
P/FCF (TTM)
29.32
Rev YoY
+8.4%
EPS YoY
+8.7%
Gross Margin
+11.4%
Op Margin
+4.1%
Net Debt
$1.59B
Current Ratio
1.46
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data