AAP
Advance Auto PartsFNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
Bull case assumes continued margin recovery, successful commercial expansion and share-recapture from supply normalization, supporting re-rating toward the analyst high.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.7.
What can break
Execution risk on commercial expansion and logistics investments
Momentum
38
Value
34
Sentiment
48
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $56.00 · Bull $70.00 · Bear $40.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $60.37
Why
Momentum38 · Δ7d -25.9
Value34 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment48 · Δ7d +5.7
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
38
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-25.9
Δ21d
-37.2
Value
34
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
48
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.7
Δ21d
+13.7
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 38.4 / Value 33.8 / Sentiment 47.8
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$3.21B
Beta
1.17
Shares Out
60.3M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
72.4
P/S (TTM)
0.27
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-12.87
Rev YoY
+1.2%
EPS YoY
-1.2%
Gross Margin
+44.4%
Op Margin
-10.5%
Net Debt
$2.54B
Current Ratio
1.78
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology