AAON

AAONF

Nasdaq / Capital Goods

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

Operational leverage from higher margin product mix and successful new product adoption drives upside to low‑double‑digit revenue growth; margins expand modestly and shares rerate on improved guidance.

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.

What can break

Construction slowdowns or raw material/transportation cost pressures compress margins; new product uptake lags and backlog weakens, causing revenue downgrades.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

— · Net —

AI TargetsBase $87.18 · Bull $103.79 · Bear $70.58

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2025-12-10 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade F · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net —

Target $149.75

Why

Momentum25 · Δ7d -6.1

Value40 · Δ7d +0.0

Sentiment25 · Δ7d -0.5

So what

Weak posture. Prioritize risk control and patience.

Setup hits not loaded

Load setup hits to see net bias and recent triggers.

Load setup hits

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-6.1

Δ21d

-61.7

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.0

Δ21d

+0.2

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.5

Δ21d

+7.6

Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 24.8 / Value 40.1 / Sentiment 24.7

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$9.13B

Beta

1.10

Shares Out

81.91M

P/E (TTM)

67.7

P/S (TTM)

5.06

P/FCF (TTM) · Derived

-51.21

Rev YoY

+54.3%

EPS YoY

+36.2%

Gross Margin

+24.5%

Op Margin

+10.0%

Net Debt

$432.15M

Current Ratio

2.62

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology