AAOI
Applied OptoelectronicsFNasdaq / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
At close
2026-07-21
Current thesis
Company-source evidence supports a real demand ramp: Q1 revenue was a record $151.1M, datacenter revenue more than doubled year over year, Q2 revenue guidance stepped up to $180M-$198M, and management tied the outlook to 800G volume shipments and more capacity coming online [#10-Q-2026-05-07].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.6.
What can break
Auditor transition is a governance headline: AAOI dismissed Grant Thornton and appointed PwC effective May 4, 2026; the filing said there were no disagreements, but such changes still merit monitoring [#8-K-2026-05-08].
Momentum
8
Value
34
Sentiment
52
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $135.00 · Bull $185.00 · Bear $95.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-21
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-21
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $172.75
Why
Momentum8 · Δ7d -5.9
Value34 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment52 · Δ7d +5.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
8
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-5.9
Δ21d
-67.8
Value
34
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
52
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.6
Δ21d
+36.0
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 7.8 / Value 34.4 / Sentiment 52.1
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-21
Market Cap
$9.57B
Beta
3.31
Shares Out
80.24M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-187.8
P/S (TTM)
5.67
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-17.90
Rev YoY
+51.4%
EPS YoY
+2.6%
Gross Margin
+29.5%
Op Margin
-38.3%
Net Debt
$32.05M
Current Ratio
3.83
As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology