UAMY

Rating neutralAI Memo

United States Antimony

As of 2026-03-20/Confidence medium

Open ticker Back to Memos

Data freshness

AI Memo

As of 2026-03-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Decision Panel

Action, confidence, horizon, and decision blockers at a glance.

Action

neutral

Confidence

medium

Horizon

—

Key catalyst

Market digestion of FY2025 10-K and 8-K disclosures (earnings, guidance cues) • 2026-04-20

Base target: $11 / p=60% prob

Biggest risk

Bear case reflects weaker-than-expected operational execution, commodity-price pressure, or dilution from financing needs, keeping the stock below the anchor.

Invalidation

Break below $8 or thesis failure.

What would change my mind?

Bull case assumes management announces a clear-capacity expansion or accretive JV/capital allocation that boosts volumes and margins, driving a re-rating toward higher analyst highs and materially above the current anchor.

Research note

Recommendation

neutral

Confidence

medium

As of

2026-03-20

Base target

$11

p=60%

Bull target

$15

p=20%

Bear target

p=20%

Key bullets

Fast scan of bull, bear, and watch items

BullKey bullets

Company-specific capital allocation / production update (management action)
Bull case assumes management announces a clear-capacity expansion or accretive JV/capital allocation that boosts volumes and margins, driving a re-rating toward higher analyst highs and materially above the current anchor.
ANCHOR: {"price": 9.62, "timestamp_utc": "2026-03-20T13:10:56+00:00", "source": "broker_last"} ANALYST_TARGETS_REVIEWED: true My base target (11.00) is close to the analyst median (~10.70) and inside the reported low/high spread (8.75–14.18); bull reflects upside to analyst highs, bear assumes downside below the analyst low [#SERP-1] [#SERP-3].

BearKey bullets

Commodity-price volatility for antimony and related products
Limited near-term liquidity or demand visibility
Operational restart/production risk or project delays

WatchKey bullets

Market digestion of FY2025 10-K and 8-K disclosures (earnings, guidance cues)

Summary

High-level snapshot

Recommendation

neutral

Model confidence

medium

Timeframe

Asset

Equity

Trigger

Base case: $11 (p=60%)

Target spread vs base: +32% / -27%

Scenario probabilities

Bull Target: $15 (p=20%)Base Target: $11 (p=60%)Bear Target: $8 (p=20%)

Commentary

Market tone is cautious following the company's FY2025 filings and press releases; filings include explicit forward-looking disclaimers that increase investor focus on concrete operational milestones [#10-K-2026-03-19] [#8-K-2026-03-19]. Short-term newsflow (earnings snippets and press releases) has driven mixed reactions as revenue growth headlines competed with EPS misses in some reports [#SERP-1] [#SERP-5].

As of 2026-03-20 • Updated bi-weekly / post-earningsSource: Internal modelMethodology

Analyst Summary

Thesis highlights from the latest analysis

Bull Case

Bear Case

Bear case reflects weaker-than-expected operational execution, commodity-price pressure, or dilution from financing needs, keeping the stock below the anchor.

Drivers

Scannable catalysts and supporting factors

Company-specific capital allocation / production update (management action)

Human Analyst Targets

External snippets for comparison only; verify at source.

Unverified externalLast fetched 2026-03-20Source quality: external scrape

External snippets are unverified; treat as directional signals only. Always confirm with the original provider.

Inline RA est

Provider

serper

Median (USD)

$10.70

Range (USD)

$8.75 - $14.18

Count

Query: United States Antimony Corp Common (UAMY) analyst consensus price target high low average

United States Antimony (UAMY) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Search result #1
According to projections from 3 analysts, the average 12-month price target for United States Antimony is 11.5833 USD, with a high estimate of 13.5 USD and ...
Extracted: $11.58, $13.50Open source
Consensus United States Antimony Corporation - MarketScreener
Search result #3
Last Close Price. 9.220USD. Average target price. 11.58USD. Spread / Average Target. +25.63%. High Price Target. 13.50USD. Spread / Highest target. +46.42%. Low ...
Extracted: $9.22, $11.58, $13.50Open source
UAMY / United States Antimony Corporation (NYSEAM) - Forecast ...
Search result #5
The average one-year price target for United States Antimony Corporation is $11.14. The forecasts range from a low of $9.09 to a high of $14.18. Read More.
Extracted: $11.14, $9.09, $14.18Open source
UAMY Stock Forecast: Analyst Ratings, Predictions & Price Target ...
Search result #6
Financial analysts have set a price target of $8.75, indicating a 0.00% increase from the current stock price, but ratings and forecasts are frequently updated ...
Extracted: $8.75Open source
UAMY Forecast, Price Target & Analyst Ratings - ChartMill
Search result #7
10 analysts have analysed UAMY and the average price target is 11.14 USD. This implies a price increase of 20.77% is expected in the next year compared to the ...
Extracted: $11.14Open source
UAMY Analyst Ratings for U S Antimony Corp Stock - Barchart.com
Search result #9
... Analyst Target Prices. HIGH TARGET. MEAN TARGET. LOW TARGET. 52 WK High. 52 WK Low. Average Analyst Ratings. 3 Mths Ago. Strong Buy. 4.50. Based on 4 analysts.
Open source

Scenarios

Bull Target (Scenario probability)

$15 / p=20% prob

Base Target (Scenario probability)

$11 / p=60% prob

Bear Target (Scenario probability)

$8 / p=20% prob

Analysis 2026-03-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Analysis reference price unavailable. Targets are shown without scenario returns.

Sentiment & Exposure

Sentiment unavailable: insufficient coverage

Events

Other notable items detected

EVENT2026-04-20
Market digestion of FY2025 10-K and 8-K disclosures (earnings, guidance cues)
Investors will re-price UAMY as the market digests the company's FY2025 10-K and accompanying 8-K disclosures and management commentary released on 2026-03-19; filings include forward-looking statements that could influence guidance and capital-allocation expectations [#10-K-2026-03-19] [#8-K-2026-03-19].
Prob 85.00% • Move 10.00% • Priced-in 40.00%

Short-term Catalysts

Next few weeks

No short-term catalysts

Long-term Catalysts

Months to a year

Company-specific capital allocation / production update (management action)
2027-03-20
The 8-K and 10-K include forward-looking statements indicating management may pursue strategic capital-allocation or production/capacity actions; a dated operational or allocation decision (e.g., restart, capex, JV) within the next 12 months would be a clear driver for a re-rating [#8-K-2026-03-19] [#10-K-2026-03-19].
Prob 50% • Move 40% • Priced-in 20%

Risks

Commodity-price volatility for antimony and related products
Limited near-term liquidity or demand visibility
Operational restart/production risk or project delays
Potential equity dilution for working-capital or capex needs

Peers

Symbol	Summary
SCZM	Silver-focused miner with comparable small-cap production sensitivity to metal prices; useful operating-cycle comparator.
ODV	Junior development/producer in metals with similar market-cap and project-stage exposure to commodity cycles.
CMP	Producer of specialty mineral salts and additives; similar exposure to industrial metal demand and pricing dynamics.

Sources

Internal and external references used in this analysis

Model source: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Human targets: serper
Targets query: United States Antimony Corp Common (UAMY) analyst consensus price target high low average
Analysis date: 2026-03-20

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Symbol

Summary

SCZM

Silver-focused miner with comparable small-cap production sensitivity to metal prices; useful operating-cycle comparator.

ODV

Junior development/producer in metals with similar market-cap and project-stage exposure to commodity cycles.

CMP

Producer of specialty mineral salts and additives; similar exposure to industrial metal demand and pricing dynamics.