AI Stock Memo: ROL - Rollins - RankAlpha

ROL

Rating buyAI Memo

Rollins

As of 2026-02-13/Confidence medium

Open ticker Back to Memos

Data freshness

AI Memo

As of 2026-02-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Decision Panel

Action, confidence, horizon, and decision blockers at a glance.

Action

buy

Confidence

medium

Horizon

—

Key catalyst

Q1 2026 earnings release • 2026-05-14

Expected move: +45%

Biggest risk

Demand weakness, margin pressure, or negative guidance compresses valuation toward the analyst low (~$48.62).

Invalidation

Break below $49 or thesis failure.

What would change my mind?

Successful pricing, margin expansion, and analyst upgrades push consensus toward the high‑$70s; execution fuels multiple expansion to ~$75.60.

Research note

Recommendation

buy

Confidence

medium

As of

2026-02-13

Base target

$66

p=55%

Bull target

$76

p=25%

Bear target

$49

p=20%

Key bullets

Fast scan of bull, bear, and watch items

BullKey bullets

Analyst target revisions
Seasonal demand and dividend policy
Successful pricing, margin expansion, and analyst upgrades push consensus toward the high‑$70s; execution fuels multiple expansion to ~$75.60.

BearKey bullets

Adverse weather or regional outbreaks shifting seasonality
Negative guidance or unexpected charge in earnings
Slower consumer/commercial spending reducing service volumes

WatchKey bullets

Q1 2026 earnings release

Summary

High-level snapshot

Recommendation

buy

Model confidence

medium

Timeframe

Asset

Equity

Trigger

Base case: $66 (p=55%)

Bull/Bear spread: +68% / +8%

Vs latest close: Bull +68% · Base +45% · Bear +8%

Scenario probabilities

Bull Target: $76 (p=25%)Base Target: $66 (p=55%)Bear Target: $49 (p=20%)

Commentary

Aggregators show median targets in the mid‑$60s with some higher outliers; market is cautiously positive but sensitive to guidance and seasonality.

As of 2026-02-13 • Updated bi-weekly / post-earningsSource: Internal modelMethodology

Analyst Summary

Thesis highlights from the latest analysis

Bull Case

Successful pricing, margin expansion, and analyst upgrades push consensus toward the high‑$70s; execution fuels multiple expansion to ~$75.60.

Bear Case

Demand weakness, margin pressure, or negative guidance compresses valuation toward the analyst low (~$48.62).

Drivers

Scannable catalysts and supporting factors

Analyst target revisions
Seasonal demand and dividend policy

Human Analyst Targets

External snippets for comparison only; verify at source.

Unverified externalLast fetched 2026-02-13Source quality: external scrape

External snippets are unverified; treat as directional signals only. Always confirm with the original provider.

Inline RA est

Provider

serper

Median (USD)

$65.52

Range (USD)

$48.62 - $75.60

Count

Query: Rollins Inc Common (ROL) analyst consensus price target high low average

Rollins (ROL) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Search result #1
According to projections from 14 analysts, the average 12-month price target for Rollins is 65.28, with a high estimate of 72 and a low estimate of 50. What ...
Open source
Rollins (ROL) Stock Forecast and Price Target 2025
Search result #2
According to the 14 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Rollins, the average price target is $66.42. The highest price target for ROL is $72.00, while the ...
Extracted: $66.42, $72.00Open source
Rollins, Inc. (ROL) Stock Price, News, Quote & History
Search result #3
Find the latest Rollins, Inc. (ROL) stock quote, history, news and other vital information to help you with your stock trading and investing.
Open source
Rollins, Inc.: Target Price Consensus and Analysts Recommendations
Search result #4
Mean consensus. OUTPERFORM ; Number of Analysts. 16 ; Last Close Price. 64.97USD ; Average target price. 65.28USD ; Spread / Average Target. +0.47%.
Extracted: $64.97, $65.28Open source
ROL - Rollins, Inc. (NYSE) - Share Price and News
Search result #5
The average one-year price target for Rollins, Inc. is $65.52. The forecasts range from a low of $48.62 to a high of $75.60. A stock's price target is the price ...
Extracted: $65.52, $48.62, $75.60Open source
ROL Stock Forecast 2026 - Rollins Price Targets & Predictions
Search result #6
Based on our analysis of 15 Wall Street analysts, ROL has a bullish consensus with a median price target of $68.50 (ranging from $50.00 to $72.00). The overall ...
Extracted: $68.50, $50.00, $72.00Open source

Scenarios

Bull Target (Scenario probability)

$76 / p=25% prob

Base Target (Scenario probability)

$66 / p=55% prob

Bear Target (Scenario probability)

$49 / p=20% prob

Price $45 as of 2026-07-17

Nearest Scenario: Bear (∆ 8%)

Targets vs latest close: Bull +68% · Base +45% · Bear +8%

Sentiment & Exposure

Sentiment unavailable: insufficient coverage

Events

Other notable items detected

EVENT2026-05-14
Q1 2026 earnings release
Estimated Q1 2026 earnings release; results and guidance will likely move consensus targets and near-term sentiment [#SERP-2].
Prob 65.00% • Move 6.00% • Priced-in 40.00%

Short-term Catalysts

Next few weeks

Analyst target revisions
2026-05-14
Analyst updates after results could shift the consensus range (current median ~$65.52); potential to lift or reduce headline momentum.
Prob 50% • Move 8% • Priced-in 60%

Long-term Catalysts

Months to a year

Seasonal demand and dividend policy
2027-02-13
Seasonal pest-demand and dividend/share‑repurchase decisions can affect valuation over multiple quarters.
Prob 45% • Move 12% • Priced-in 30%

Risks

Adverse weather or regional outbreaks shifting seasonality
Negative guidance or unexpected charge in earnings
Slower consumer/commercial spending reducing service volumes
Wage and input‑cost inflation compressing margins

Peers

Symbol	Summary
ECL	Ecolab: commercial services peer and a benchmark for pricing and margin trends.
SERV	ServiceMaster: recurring-service model; sensitive to labor and commodity costs.

Sources

Internal and external references used in this analysis

Model source: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Human targets: serper
Targets query: Rollins Inc Common (ROL) analyst consensus price target high low average
Analysis date: 2026-02-13