PINE

Rating sellAI Memo

Alpine Income Property Trust

As of 2026-02-08/Confidence medium

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Data freshness

AI Memo

As of 2026-02-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Decision Panel

Action, confidence, horizon, and decision blockers at a glance.

Action

sell

Confidence

medium

Horizon

—

Key catalyst

Quarterly earnings / NAV update • 2026-05-09

Base target: $19 / p=60% prob

Biggest risk

Bear case assumes rising interest rates compress NAV multiples, occupancy or rent-pressure in key properties, and a distribution cut or disappointing NAV realizations driving multiple compression toward the analyst low.

Invalidation

Break below $13 or thesis failure.

What would change my mind?

Bull case assumes sustained distribution stability, successful asset dispositions/accretive deals, and continued analyst upgrades that lift sentiment toward the top of the analyst range.

Research note

Recommendation

sell

Confidence

medium

As of

2026-02-08

Base target

$19

p=60%

Bull target

$21

p=20%

Bear target

$13

p=20%

Key bullets

Fast scan of bull, bear, and watch items

BullKey bullets

Analyst target revisions and coverage updates
Portfolio revaluation / strategic asset dispositions
Bull case assumes sustained distribution stability, successful asset dispositions/accretive deals, and continued analyst upgrades that lift sentiment toward the top of the analyst range.

BearKey bullets

Dividend reduction or payout volatility
Interest-rate driven NAV compression
Liquidity/financing stress for smaller REITs

WatchKey bullets

Quarterly earnings / NAV update

Summary

High-level snapshot

Recommendation

sell

Model confidence

medium

Timeframe

Asset

Equity

Trigger

Base case: $19 (p=60%)

Target spread vs base: +12% / -30%

Scenario probabilities

Bull Target: $21 (p=20%)Base Target: $19 (p=60%)Bear Target: $13 (p=20%)

Commentary

Market signals show mixed-to-neutral analyst views with several recent upgrades but a median target slightly below the anchor price, indicating cautious optimism [#SERP-2], [#SERP-4]. Consensus price targets cluster near the low‑to‑mid $18‑–‑20 range, suggesting limited upside beyond the analyst high absent stronger NAV or distribution outcomes [#SERP-1].

As of 2026-02-08 • Updated bi-weekly / post-earningsSource: Internal modelMethodology

Analyst Summary

Thesis highlights from the latest analysis

Bull Case

Bull case assumes sustained distribution stability, successful asset dispositions/accretive deals, and continued analyst upgrades that lift sentiment toward the top of the analyst range.

Bear Case

Drivers

Scannable catalysts and supporting factors

Analyst target revisions and coverage updates
Portfolio revaluation / strategic asset dispositions

Human Analyst Targets

External snippets for comparison only; verify at source.

Unverified externalLast fetched 2026-02-08Source quality: external scrape

External snippets are unverified; treat as directional signals only. Always confirm with the original provider.

Inline RA est

Provider

serper

Median (USD)

$18.73

Range (USD)

$13.10 - $21.00

Count

Query: Alpine Income Property Trust Inc Common (PINE) analyst consensus price target high low average

Alpine Income (PINE) Price Targets
Search result #1
The forecasts range from a low of $16.00 to a high of $21.00. The average price target represents an increase of 0.11% from the last closing price of $18.48.
Extracted: $16.00, $21.00, $18.48Open source
Analysts Are Boosting Their Alpine Income Property Trust, ...
Search result #2
Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (NYSE:PINE) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial upgrades ...
Open source24 hours ago
Alpine Income Property Trust (NYSE:PINE) - Stock Analysis
Search result #3
Price target increased by 7.7% to US$19.59 · Alpine Income Property Trust: Reliable Dividend Income With Solid Upside Potential · Full year 2025 earnings: EPS and ...
Extracted: $19.59Open source
Alpine Income Property Trust (PINE) Stock Forecast & Price ...
Search result #4
According to the 8 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Alpine Income Property Trust, the average price target is $19.70. The highest price target for PINE ...
Extracted: $19.70Open source
PINE Stock Forecast - Alpine Income Property Trust Inc
Search result #5
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PINE is 18.36 USD with a low forecast of 16.16 USD and a high forecast of 19.95 USD.
Extracted: $18.36, $16.16, $19.95Open source
Alpine Income Property Trust Inc (PINE)
Search result #6
The average 12-month price target for Alpine Income is USD18.95, with a high estimate of USD21 and a low estimate of USD17. 8 analysts recommend buying the ...
Extracted: $18.95, $21.00, $17.00Open source

Scenarios

Bull Target (Scenario probability)

$21 / p=20% prob

Base Target (Scenario probability)

$19 / p=60% prob

Bear Target (Scenario probability)

$13 / p=20% prob

Analysis 2026-02-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Analysis reference price unavailable. Targets are shown without scenario returns.

Sentiment & Exposure

Sentiment unavailable: insufficient coverage

Events

Other notable items detected

EVENT2026-05-09
Quarterly earnings / NAV update
Next quarterly earnings/NAV report may reset expectations for distributions and valuation; timing assumed based on typical reporting cadence and recent analyst activity [#SERP-2]. Assumed date is the end of the 90‑day short window.
Prob 60.00% • Move 6.00% • Priced-in 50.00%

Short-term Catalysts

Next few weeks

Analyst target revisions and coverage updates
2026-05-09
Near-term analyst repricing following recent upgrades and target changes could move the stock; catalysts include published target revisions and analyst notes [#SERP-1], [#SERP-2].
Prob 40% • Move 8% • Priced-in 60%

Long-term Catalysts

Months to a year

Portfolio revaluation / strategic asset dispositions
2027-02-08
Over 12 months, asset sales, portfolio reweighting, or accretive acquisitions could materially change NAV and yield profile, affecting long-term share value [#SERP-4], [#SERP-6].
Prob 30% • Move 15% • Priced-in 20%

Risks

Dividend reduction or payout volatility
Interest-rate driven NAV compression
Liquidity/financing stress for smaller REITs
Rising vacancy or leasing weakness in key assets

Peers

Symbol	Summary
O	Broad-based monthly-pay REIT with historically stable distributions; useful comparator for distribution durability and REIT governance.
NLY	Mortgage and hybrid REIT peer that highlights sensitivity to interest rates and financing spreads versus property-focused peers.
EQR	Large residential REIT peer for operational benchmarks on occupancy, leasing momentum, and rent growth trends.

Sources

Internal and external references used in this analysis

Model source: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Human targets: serper
Targets query: Alpine Income Property Trust Inc Common (PINE) analyst consensus price target high low average
Analysis date: 2026-02-08

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Symbol

Summary

Broad-based monthly-pay REIT with historically stable distributions; useful comparator for distribution durability and REIT governance.

NLY

Mortgage and hybrid REIT peer that highlights sensitivity to interest rates and financing spreads versus property-focused peers.

EQR

Large residential REIT peer for operational benchmarks on occupancy, leasing momentum, and rent growth trends.