AI Stock Memo: NTST - NETSTREIT - RankAlpha

NTST

Rating buyAI Memo

NETSTREIT

As of 2026-01-31/Confidence high/Horizon 3m

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Data freshness

AI Memo

As of 2026-01-31 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Decision Panel

Action, confidence, horizon, and decision blockers at a glance.

Action

buy

Confidence

high

Horizon

Key catalyst

Analyst price-target refresh (consensus window end) • 2026-12-31

Expected move: +1%

Biggest risk

Bear case assumes rising tenant stress or higher cap rates that depress NAV and distributions, keeping shares near the analyst low.

Invalidation

Break below $18 or thesis failure.

What would change my mind?

Bull case assumes continued stable occupancy, modest compression in cap rates for targeted assets, and accretive M&A pushing NAV toward the high analyst range.

Research note

Recommendation

buy

Confidence

high

As of

2026-01-31

Base target

$20

p=60%

Bull target

$23

p=20%

Bear target

$18

p=20%

Key bullets

Fast scan of bull, bear, and watch items

BullKey bullets

Quarterly earnings / AFFO update (estimated)
Portfolio reweighting and accretive acquisitions
Bull case assumes continued stable occupancy, modest compression in cap rates for targeted assets, and accretive M&A pushing NAV toward the high analyst range.

BearKey bullets

Execution risk on acquisitions or capital recycling
Rising interest rates leading to cap-rate expansion
Tenant concentration and retail property demand decline

WatchKey bullets

Analyst price-target refresh (consensus window end)

Summary

High-level snapshot

Recommendation

buy

Model confidence

high

Timeframe

Asset

Equity

Trigger

Base case: $20 (p=60%)

Bull/Bear spread: +15% / -10%

Vs latest close: Bull +15% · Base +1% · Bear -10%

Scenario probabilities

Bull Target: $23 (p=20%)Base Target: $20 (p=60%)Bear Target: $18 (p=20%)

Commentary

Market tone is cautiously constructive: most analysts sit in the $19–$23 range and the median (~$20.18) implies modest upside from the anchor [#SERP-1]. Coverage is positive-to-neutral, with messaging focused on steady cash flow but limited near-term catalysts [#SERP-5].

As of 2026-01-31 • Updated bi-weekly / post-earningsSource: Internal modelMethodology

Analyst Summary

Thesis highlights from the latest analysis

Bull Case

Bull case assumes continued stable occupancy, modest compression in cap rates for targeted assets, and accretive M&A pushing NAV toward the high analyst range.

Bear Case

Bear case assumes rising tenant stress or higher cap rates that depress NAV and distributions, keeping shares near the analyst low.

Drivers

Scannable catalysts and supporting factors

Quarterly earnings / AFFO update (estimated)
Portfolio reweighting and accretive acquisitions

Human Analyst Targets

External snippets for comparison only; verify at source.

Unverified externalLast fetched 2026-01-31Source quality: external scrape

External snippets are unverified; treat as directional signals only. Always confirm with the original provider.

Inline RA est

Provider

serper

Median (USD)

$20.18

Range (USD)

$18.09 - $23.10

Count

Query: NETSTREIT Corp Common (NTST) analyst consensus price target high low average

NETSTREIT (NTST) Stock Forecast and Price Target 2026
Search result #1
According to the 13 analysts' twelve-month price targets for NETSTREIT, the average price target is $20.36. The highest price target for NTST is $22.00, ...
Extracted: $20.36, $22.00Open source
NETSTREIT (NTST) Stock Forecast, Price Targets and Analysts ...
Search result #2
The average price target is $20.17 with a high forecast of $21.00 and a low forecast of $19.00. The average price target represents a 8.09% change from the last ...
Extracted: $20.17, $21.00, $19.00Open source
NETSTREIT Corp.: Target Price Consensus and Analysts ...
Search result #3
Truist Securities Adjusts NETSTREIT Price Target to $20 From $19, Maintains Buy Rating · Berenberg Initiates NETSTREIT at Buy With $22 Price Target · Cantor ...
Extracted: $20.00, $19.00, $22.00Open source
What is the current Price Target and Forecast for NETSTREIT (NTST)
Search result #4
The forecasts range from a low of $19.00 to a high of $22.00. The average price target represents an increase of 12.97% from the last closing price of $18.12.
Extracted: $19.00, $22.00, $18.12Open source
NTST - NETSTREIT Corp. (NYSE) - Share Price and News - Fintel
Search result #5
The average one-year price target for NETSTREIT Corp. is $20.77. The forecasts range from a low of $19.19 to a high of $23.10. A stock's price target is the ...
Extracted: $20.77, $19.19, $23.10Open source
NetSTREIT Corp. Analyst Estimates - NTST - MarketWatch
Search result #6
Stock Price Targets. High, $22.00. Median, $20.50. Low, $19.00. Average, $20.36. Current Price, $18.09. Yearly Numbers. Estimates. NTST will report 2025 ...
Extracted: $22.00, $20.50, $19.00, $20.36, $18.09Open source

Scenarios

Bull Target (Scenario probability)

$23 / p=20% prob

Base Target (Scenario probability)

$20 / p=60% prob

Bear Target (Scenario probability)

$18 / p=20% prob

Price $20 as of 2026-05-29

Nearest Scenario: Base (∆ 1%)

Targets vs latest close: Bull +15% · Base +1% · Bear -10%

Sentiment & Exposure

Sentiment unavailable: insufficient coverage

Events

Other notable items detected

EVENT2026-12-31
Analyst price-target refresh (consensus window end)
Annual/rolling analyst target updates from the 13-covering analysts (using window-end assumption for timing) which often re-anchor market expectations [#SERP-1].
Prob 70.00% • Move 12.00% • Priced-in 50.00%

Short-term Catalysts

Next few weeks

Quarterly earnings / AFFO update (estimated)
2026-05-01
Expected quarterly results and AFFO guidance that can reprice shares; timing estimated based on typical seasonality [#SERP-6].
Prob 65% • Move 8% • Priced-in 40%

Long-term Catalysts

Months to a year

Portfolio reweighting and accretive acquisitions
2027-01-31
Company capital redeployment or targeted acquisitions could materially increase NAV over a 12‑24 month horizon; assumes management executes on stated strategy.
Prob 45% • Move 25% • Priced-in 15%

Risks

Execution risk on acquisitions or capital recycling
Rising interest rates leading to cap-rate expansion
Tenant concentration and retail property demand decline

Peers

Symbol	Summary
O	Large retail-focused REIT with monthly distributions; useful benchmark for yield and capital allocation.
NNN	Single-tenant net-lease peer with similar tenant concentration and lease profile.

Sources

Internal and external references used in this analysis

Model source: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Human targets: serper
Targets query: NETSTREIT Corp Common (NTST) analyst consensus price target high low average
Analysis date: 2026-01-31