KO

AI Memo

Coca-Cola

As of 2026-02-11/Confidence medium

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Data freshness

AI Memo

As of 2026-02-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Decision Panel

Action, confidence, horizon, and decision blockers at a glance.

Action

—

Confidence

medium

Horizon

—

Key catalyst

Q1 2026 earnings release • 2026-04-30

Expected move: +1%

Biggest risk

Renewed input-cost inflation, weaker retail demand or persistent mix headwinds compress margins and delay buyback benefits, pushing the stock toward the lower analyst band.

Invalidation

Break below $72 or thesis failure.

What would change my mind?

Sustained margin improvement, modest top-line growth and continued buybacks drive EPS upside and a multiple re-rating toward premium consumer staples peers; bull outcome requires clear execution on pricing and cost programs.

Research note

Recommendation

—

Confidence

medium

As of

2026-02-11

Base target

$80

p=60%

Bull target

$95

p=25%

Bear target

$72

p=15%

Key bullets

Fast scan of bull, bear, and watch items

BullKey bullets

Near-term margin/volume data (spring retail orders)
Sustained margin expansion from pricing/mix and concentrate growth
Sustained margin improvement, modest top-line growth and continued buybacks drive EPS upside and a multiple re-rating toward premium consumer staples peers; bull outcome requires clear execution on pricing and cost programs.

BearKey bullets

Input-cost inflation (sweeteners, packaging)
Regulatory actions or sugar-sweetened beverage taxes
Shifts in consumer preferences away from sugary drinks

WatchKey bullets

Q1 2026 earnings release

Summary

High-level snapshot

Recommendation

Model confidence

medium

Timeframe

Asset

Equity

Trigger

Base case: $80 (p=60%)

Bull/Bear spread: +20% / -9%

Vs latest close: Bull +20% · Base +1% · Bear -9%

Scenario probabilities

Bull Target: $95 (p=25%)Base Target: $80 (p=60%)Bear Target: $72 (p=15%)

Commentary

Consensus is mildly constructive but cautious: median ~$79.8 sits close to the current price, so near-term upside is limited and depends on execution and margin recovery. Short-term focus is on Q1 results and margin cadence ahead of the spring earnings window [#SERP-2][#SERP-1][#SERP-6].

As of 2026-02-11 • Updated bi-weekly / post-earningsSource: Internal modelMethodology

Analyst Summary

Thesis highlights from the latest analysis

Bull Case

Bear Case

Renewed input-cost inflation, weaker retail demand or persistent mix headwinds compress margins and delay buyback benefits, pushing the stock toward the lower analyst band.

Drivers

Scannable catalysts and supporting factors

Near-term margin/volume data (spring retail orders)
Sustained margin expansion from pricing/mix and concentrate growth

Human Analyst Targets

External snippets for comparison only; verify at source.

Unverified externalLast fetched 2026-02-11Source quality: external scrape

External snippets are unverified; treat as directional signals only. Always confirm with the original provider.

Inline RA est

Provider

serper

Median (USD)

$79.80

Range (USD)

$71.71 - $100.00

Count

Query: Coca-Cola Co Common (KO) analyst consensus price target high low average

CocaCola (KO) Stock Forecast and Price Target 2025
Search result #1
The highest price target for KO is $88.00, while the lowest price target for KO is $75.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 5.54% ...
Extracted: $88.00, $75.00Open source
KO | Coca-Cola Co. Analyst Estimates
Search result #2
Stock Price Targets. High, $88.00. Median, $83.00. Low, $74.00. Average, $82.75. Current Price, $76.81. Yearly Numbers. Estimates. KO will report 2026 earnings ...
Extracted: $88.00, $83.00, $74.00, $82.75, $76.81Open source
Coca Cola (KO) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Search result #3
According to projections from 23 analysts, the average 12-month price target for Coca-Cola is 79.80, with a high estimate of 88 and a low estimate of 71.38.
Open source
KO Stock Forecast - Coca-Cola Co
Search result #4
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for KO is 80.56 USD with a low forecast of 71.71 USD and a high forecast of 91.35 USD. KO ...
Extracted: $80.56, $71.71, $91.35Open source
What is the current Price Target and Forecast for Coca-Cola (KO)
Search result #5
The forecasts range from a low of $72.00 to a high of $100.00. The average price target represents an increase of 4.95% from the last closing price of $77.97.
Extracted: $72.00, $100.00, $77.97Open source
The Coca-Cola Company: Target Price Consensus and ...
Search result #6
Analysts' Consensus ; Mean consensus. BUY ; Number of Analysts. 24 ; Last Close Price. 77.97USD ; Average target price. 79.80USD ; Spread / Average Target. +2.35%.
Extracted: $77.97, $79.80Open source

Scenarios

Bull Target (Scenario probability)

$95 / p=25% prob

Base Target (Scenario probability)

$80 / p=60% prob

Bear Target (Scenario probability)

$72 / p=15% prob

Price $79 as of 2026-05-29

Nearest Scenario: Base (∆ 1%)

Targets vs latest close: Bull +20% · Base +1% · Bear -9%

Sentiment & Exposure

Sentiment unavailable: insufficient coverage

Events

Other notable items detected

EVENT2026-04-30
Q1 2026 earnings release
Company Q1 results and guidance update; assumed end-of-April release window (using window end for planning) — beats could re-rate valuation, misses may pressure shares [#SERP-2].
Prob 70.00% • Move 3.00% • Priced-in 60.00%

Short-term Catalysts

Next few weeks

Near-term margin/volume data (spring retail orders)
2026-05-12
Retail/distributor shipment and promotional-readiness data for spring season that can drive a 1–2 quarter revision to EPS estimates if stronger-than-expected [#SERP-6].
Prob 40% • Move 4% • Priced-in 30%

Long-term Catalysts

Months to a year

Sustained margin expansion from pricing/mix and concentrate growth
2027-02-11
Multi-quarter margin improvement from pricing, mix shift to higher-margin concentrates and cost easing could materially raise long-term EPS trajectory [#SERP-4].
Prob 55% • Move 12% • Priced-in 35%

Risks

Input-cost inflation (sweeteners, packaging)
Regulatory actions or sugar-sweetened beverage taxes
Shifts in consumer preferences away from sugary drinks
Slower-than-expected pricing pass-through

Peers

Symbol	Summary
PEP	Diversified beverage/snack competitor with similar category exposure; helpful comp for consumer demand trends.
KDP	Keurig Dr Pepper — North American beverage peer; useful comparator for US channel mix and promotional dynamics.
MNST	Monster Beverage — high-growth energy-beverage peer; contrasts on category growth and margin expansion potential.

Sources

Internal and external references used in this analysis

Model source: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Human targets: serper
Targets query: Coca-Cola Co Common (KO) analyst consensus price target high low average
Analysis date: 2026-02-11

AI Stock Memo: KO - Coca-Cola - RankAlpha