GNTX

Rating buyAI Memo

Gentex

As of 2026-01-10/Confidence medium

Open ticker Back to Memos

Data freshness

AI Memo

As of 2026-01-10 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Decision Panel

Action, confidence, horizon, and decision blockers at a glance.

Action

buy

Confidence

medium

Horizon

—

Key catalyst

Analyst target updates • 2026-03-31

Expected move: +21%

Biggest risk

OEM production declines, lost design wins, or sustained cost inflation compress revenue and margins, pushing the share below current levels toward the low‑20s.

Invalidation

Break below $20 or thesis failure.

What would change my mind?

Faster-than-expected OEM design wins and margin recovery from cost and yield improvements drive revenue and multiple expansion toward the mid‑30s within 12 months.

Research note

Recommendation

buy

Confidence

medium

As of

2026-01-10

Base target

$29

p=60%

Bull target

$36

p=20%

Bear target

$20

p=20%

Key bullets

Fast scan of bull, bear, and watch items

BullKey bullets

Q4 / FY2025 earnings (est.)
ADAS / interior-electronics content ramp
Faster-than-expected OEM design wins and margin recovery from cost and yield improvements drive revenue and multiple expansion toward the mid‑30s within 12 months.

BearKey bullets

Cyclical auto production downturn
Delayed or lost OEM design wins
Execution risk on electronics ramps

WatchKey bullets

Analyst target updates

Summary

High-level snapshot

Recommendation

buy

Model confidence

medium

Timeframe

Asset

Equity

Trigger

Base case: $29 (p=60%)

Bull/Bear spread: +50% / -16%

Vs latest close: Bull +50% · Base +21% · Bear -16%

Scenario probabilities

Bull Target: $36 (p=20%)Base Target: $29 (p=60%)Bear Target: $20 (p=20%)

Commentary

Consensus targets cluster in the high‑20s; market tone is cautiously constructive with upside tied to margin recovery and OEM announcements. Near-term sentiment will pivot on the upcoming quarter and any OEM design-win news.

As of 2026-01-10 • Updated bi-weekly / post-earningsSource: Internal modelMethodology

Analyst Summary

Thesis highlights from the latest analysis

Bull Case

Faster-than-expected OEM design wins and margin recovery from cost and yield improvements drive revenue and multiple expansion toward the mid‑30s within 12 months.

Bear Case

OEM production declines, lost design wins, or sustained cost inflation compress revenue and margins, pushing the share below current levels toward the low‑20s.

Drivers

Scannable catalysts and supporting factors

Q4 / FY2025 earnings (est.)
ADAS / interior-electronics content ramp

Human Analyst Targets

External snippets for comparison only; verify at source.

Unverified externalLast fetched 2026-01-10Source quality: external scrape

External snippets are unverified; treat as directional signals only. Always confirm with the original provider.

Inline RA est

Provider

serper

Median (USD)

$27.63

Range (USD)

$23.69 - $41.30

Count

Query: Gentex Corp Common (GNTX) analyst consensus price target high low average

Gentex (GNTX) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Search result #1
According to projections from 8 analysts, the average 12-month price target for Gentex is 29.8125, with a high estimate of 42 and a low estimate of 25.
Open source
Gentex (GNTX) Stock Forecast, Price Targets and Analysts ...
Search result #2
The average price target is $29.20 with a high forecast of $32.00 and a low forecast of $27.00. The average price target represents a 23.26% change from the ...
Extracted: $29.20, $32.00, $27.00Open source
Gentex (GNTX) Stock Price, News & Analysis
Search result #3
Price Target and Rating. Average Price Target for Gentex: $28.29. High Price Target: $32.00. Low Price Target: $24.00. Potential Upside/Downside: +14.6%.
Extracted: $28.29, $32.00, $24.00Open source
Gentex Corp - GNTX Intrinsic Value
Search result #4
Wall Street analysts forecast GNTX stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GNTX ...
Open source
Gentex (GNTX) Price Targets
Search result #5
The forecasts range from a low of $25.00 to a high of $34.00. The average price target represents an increase of 18.68% from the last closing price of $24.68.
Extracted: $25.00, $34.00, $24.68Open source
Gentex Corporation: Target Price Consensus and Analysts ...
Search result #6
Gentex Corporation analysts consensus, targets, ratings and recommendations | Nasdaq: GNTX | Nasdaq.
Open source

Scenarios

Bull Target (Scenario probability)

$36 / p=20% prob

Base Target (Scenario probability)

$29 / p=60% prob

Bear Target (Scenario probability)

$20 / p=20% prob

Price $24 as of 2026-05-26

Nearest Scenario: Bear (∆ 16%)

Targets vs latest close: Bull +50% · Base +21% · Bear -16%

Sentiment & Exposure

Sentiment unavailable: insufficient coverage

Events

Other notable items detected

EVENT2026-03-31
Analyst target updates
Analysts often reset 12-month targets after earnings/guidance; revisions toward consensus (~$29) could reprice shares. Date set to window end as an assumption [#SERP-1].
Prob 60.00% • Move 8.00% • Priced-in 50.00%

Short-term Catalysts

Next few weeks

Q4 / FY2025 earnings (est.)
2026-04-10
Estimated Q4/FY2025 release; beats or guide changes will move the stock materially. Date conservatively estimated based on historical timing [#SERP-8].
Prob 70% • Move 10% • Priced-in 35%

Long-term Catalysts

Months to a year

ADAS / interior-electronics content ramp
2027-01-10
Sustained OEM design wins and higher content per vehicle could drive revenue and margin expansion; multi-year horizon assumed.
Prob 55% • Move 25% • Priced-in 20%

Risks

Cyclical auto production downturn
Delayed or lost OEM design wins
Execution risk on electronics ramps
Raw material / component cost inflation

Peers

Symbol	Summary
VC	Visteon — cockpit electronics specialist; relevant for ADAS/cabin content trends.
MGA	Magna — diversified Tier‑1 with EV/ADAS exposure and broad OEM reach.
LEA	Lear — interior systems and electronics exposure; sensitive to seating/cockpit content cycles.

Sources

Internal and external references used in this analysis

Model source: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Human targets: serper
Targets query: Gentex Corp Common (GNTX) analyst consensus price target high low average
Analysis date: 2026-01-10

AI Stock Memo: GNTX - Gentex - RankAlpha