AI Stock Memo: GGR - Gogoro - RankAlpha

GGR

AI Memo

Gogoro

As of 2026-02-14/Confidence medium

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Data freshness

AI Memo

As of 2026-02-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Decision Panel

Action, confidence, horizon, and decision blockers at a glance.

Action

—

Confidence

medium

Horizon

—

Key catalyst

Estimated next quarterly earnings release (window end assumed) • 2026-05-15

Expected move: -11%

Biggest risk

Bear case assumes slower adoption, persistent operating losses, and periodic liquidity events or dilution that keep shares near or below current levels until profitability/scale is demonstrated.

Invalidation

Break below $2 or thesis failure.

What would change my mind?

Bull case assumes successful scaling of battery-swap networks, broader geographic partnerships, and steady margin improvement, supporting re-rating toward mid-single-digit multiples of current revenue expectations within 12–24 months.

Research note

Recommendation

—

Confidence

medium

As of

2026-02-14

Base target

p=60%

Bull target

p=20%

Bear target

p=20%

Key bullets

Fast scan of bull, bear, and watch items

BullKey bullets

Analyst coverage revisions / price-target resets
Execution on geographic expansion and battery-swap partnerships
Bull case assumes successful scaling of battery-swap networks, broader geographic partnerships, and steady margin improvement, supporting re-rating toward mid-single-digit multiples of current revenue expectations within 12–24 months.

BearKey bullets

Concentrated market exposure and regulatory/supply-chain interruptions
Near-term liquidity/dilution from secondary offerings
Weak-than-expected unit adoption for battery-swap models

WatchKey bullets

Estimated next quarterly earnings release (window end assumed)

Summary

High-level snapshot

Recommendation

Model confidence

medium

Timeframe

Asset

Equity

Trigger

Base case: $3 (p=60%)

Bull/Bear spread: +30% / -42%

Vs latest close: Bull +30% · Base -11% · Bear -42%

Scenario probabilities

Bull Target: $5 (p=20%)Base Target: $3 (p=60%)Bear Target: $2 (p=20%)

Commentary

Market signals from aggregator pages show mixed/neutral analyst sentiment with a wide spread of price targets and several sources reporting no active coverage or single-outlier $10 targets [#SERP-1], [#SERP-4]. Retail interest appears intermittent and headlines are sparse, implying sentiment is fragile and dependent on execution or a coverage catalyst [#SERP-7].

As of 2026-02-14 • Updated bi-weekly / post-earningsSource: Internal modelMethodology

Analyst Summary

Thesis highlights from the latest analysis

Bull Case

Bear Case

Bear case assumes slower adoption, persistent operating losses, and periodic liquidity events or dilution that keep shares near or below current levels until profitability/scale is demonstrated.

Drivers

Scannable catalysts and supporting factors

Analyst coverage revisions / price-target resets
Execution on geographic expansion and battery-swap partnerships

Human Analyst Targets

External snippets for comparison only; verify at source.

Unverified externalLast fetched 2026-02-14Source quality: external scrape

External snippets are unverified; treat as directional signals only. Always confirm with the original provider.

Inline RA est

Provider

serper

Median (USD)

$3.43

Range (USD)

$2.25 - $10.00

Count

Query: Gogoro Inc Common (GGR) analyst consensus price target high low average

Gogoro (GGR) Stock Forecast and Price Target 2026 - MarketBeat
Search result #1
GGR's current price target is $0.00. Learn why top analysts are making this stock forecast for Gogoro at MarketBeat.
Open source
GOGORO INC(NASDAQ:GGR) stock Analyst Ratings | ChartMill.com
Search result #2
The consensus rating for GOGORO INC (GGR) is 45 / 100 . This indicates that analysts generally have a neutral outlook on the stock.
Open source
Gogoro (GGR) Stock Forecast & Price Target - Investing.com
Search result #3
View Gogoro stock forecast data, including GGR stock price estimates and 12-month Gogoro price targets, to assess potential upside or downside.
Open source
GGR - Gogoro Inc. (NasdaqCM) - Share Price and News - Fintel
Search result #4
The average one-year price target for Gogoro Inc. is $0.51. The forecasts range from a low of $0.50 to a high of $0.52. A stock's price target is the price at ...
Open source
Gogoro Inc. (GGR) Analyst Ratings, Estimates & Forecasts
Search result #5
See Gogoro Inc. (GGR) stock analyst estimates, including earnings and revenue, EPS, upgrades and downgrades.
Open source
What is the current Price Target and Forecast for Gogoro Inc. (GGR)
Search result #6
Gogoro Inc. does not have any price target set by analysts. Analyst Price Targets (). Last Close 2.90.
Open source

Scenarios

Bull Target (Scenario probability)

$5 / p=20% prob

Base Target (Scenario probability)

$3 / p=60% prob

Bear Target (Scenario probability)

$2 / p=20% prob

Price $4 as of 2026-05-26

Nearest Scenario: Base (∆ 11%)

Targets vs latest close: Bull +30% · Base -11% · Bear -42%

Sentiment & Exposure

Sentiment unavailable: insufficient coverage

Events

Other notable items detected

EVENT2026-05-15
Estimated next quarterly earnings release (window end assumed)
Market consensus coverage is thin and price targets vary, making the next quarterly report a likely short-term volatility trigger; date is an assumption (window end chosen) due to no firm public date in search snippets [#SERP-8], [#SERP-1].
Prob 70.00% • Move 15.00% • Priced-in 40.00%

Short-term Catalysts

Next few weeks

Analyst coverage revisions / price-target resets
2026-05-15
Several aggregator pages show wide and inconsistent targets (range reported from ~$0.50 up to $10.00), so coverage changes or a high-profile revision could move the stock materially [#SERP-4], [#SERP-10], [#SERP-1].
Prob 30% • Move 25% • Priced-in 20%

Long-term Catalysts

Months to a year

Execution on geographic expansion and battery-swap partnerships
2027-02-14
Longer-term upside depends on Gogoro's ability to scale battery-swap networks and partner expansions; investor belief in execution would support re-rating over the next year [#SERP-3], [#SERP-9].
Prob 45% • Move 50% • Priced-in 25%

Risks

Concentrated market exposure and regulatory/supply-chain interruptions
Near-term liquidity/dilution from secondary offerings
Weak-than-expected unit adoption for battery-swap models

Peers

Symbol	Summary
NIU	Urban electric two-wheeler OEM that competes on scooter EV adoption and shared-mobility channels.
NIO	Large EV OEM; comparable on EV sector dynamics and investor sentiment though focused on cars rather than scooters.

Sources

Internal and external references used in this analysis

Model source: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Human targets: serper
Targets query: Gogoro Inc Common (GGR) analyst consensus price target high low average
Analysis date: 2026-02-14