AI Stock Memo: CR - Crane - RankAlpha

CR

AI Memo

Crane

As of 2026-01-27/Confidence medium

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Data freshness

AI Memo

As of 2026-01-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Decision Panel

Action, confidence, horizon, and decision blockers at a glance.

Action

—

Confidence

medium

Horizon

—

Key catalyst

Analyst target re-ratings • 2026-04-27

Expected move: +18%

Biggest risk

Bear case: macro slowdown or backlog reductions compress volumes and margins; missed guidance or weaker orders could push the stock toward the low end of published analyst estimates.

Invalidation

Break below $173 or thesis failure.

What would change my mind?

Bull case: sustained strength in aftermarket and aerospace/defense backlog plus disciplined cost actions drive margin expansion, validating multiples nearer to peers and lifting price toward the high analyst range.

Research note

Recommendation

—

Confidence

medium

As of

2026-01-27

Base target

$214

p=60%

Bull target

$247

p=20%

Bear target

$173

p=20%

Key bullets

Fast scan of bull, bear, and watch items

BullKey bullets

Quarterly earnings beat and guidance raise
Sustained margin expansion and mix shift
Bull case: sustained strength in aftermarket and aerospace/defense backlog plus disciplined cost actions drive margin expansion, validating multiples nearer to peers and lifting price toward the high analyst range.

BearKey bullets

Backlog erosion or unexpected contract cancellations
Commodity and input-cost inflation compressing margins
Execution risk on margin-improvement initiatives

WatchKey bullets

Analyst target re-ratings

Summary

High-level snapshot

Recommendation

Model confidence

medium

Timeframe

Asset

Equity

Trigger

Base case: $214 (p=60%)

Bull/Bear spread: +36% / -5%

Vs latest close: Bull +36% · Base +18% · Bear -5%

Scenario probabilities

Bull Target: $247 (p=20%)Base Target: $214 (p=60%)Bear Target: $173 (p=20%)

Commentary

Market sentiment is cautiously constructive: analyst consensus centers near $214 with a wide spread to $173–$247, implying modest upside vs the current anchor [#SERP-1][#SERP-9]. Coverage shows mixed ranges across vendors, so near-term moves will likely hinge on earnings and ensuing analyst revisions [#SERP-2].

As of 2026-01-27 • Updated bi-weekly / post-earningsSource: Internal modelMethodology

Analyst Summary

Thesis highlights from the latest analysis

Bull Case

Bear Case

Bear case: macro slowdown or backlog reductions compress volumes and margins; missed guidance or weaker orders could push the stock toward the low end of published analyst estimates.

Drivers

Scannable catalysts and supporting factors

Quarterly earnings beat and guidance raise
Sustained margin expansion and mix shift

Human Analyst Targets

External snippets for comparison only; verify at source.

Unverified externalLast fetched 2026-01-27Source quality: external scrape

External snippets are unverified; treat as directional signals only. Always confirm with the original provider.

Inline RA est

Provider

serper

Median (USD)

$214.22

Range (USD)

$173.00 - $246.75

Count

Query: Crane Co Common (CR) analyst consensus price target high low average

CR Stock Forecast - Crane Co - Alpha Spread
Search result #1
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CR is 218.68 USD with a low forecast of 176.3 USD and a high forecast of 246.75 USD. What ...
Extracted: $218.68, $176.30, $246.75Open source
Crane Company (CR) Stock Forecast, Price Targets and Analysts ...
Search result #2
The average price target is $219.00 with a high forecast of $235.00 and a low forecast of $201.00. The average price target represents a 7.23% change from the ...
Extracted: $219.00, $235.00, $201.00Open source
CR Stock Ratings & Analyst Recommendations - Financhill
Search result #3
The 8 analysts providing 12-month price projections for Crane Co. shares anticipate an average target of $214.22, ranging from a low estimate of $173.00 to ...
Extracted: $214.22, $173.00Open source
Crane Company: Target Price Consensus and Analysts ...
Search result #4
Analysts' Consensus ; Mean consensus. BUY ; Number of Analysts. 9 ; Last Close Price. 196.30USD ; Average target price. 214.22USD ; Spread / Average Target. +9.13%.
Extracted: $196.30, $214.22Open source
What is the current Price Target and Forecast for Crane Company (CR)
Search result #5
The forecasts range from a low of $200.00 to a high of $235.00. The average price target represents an increase of 5.57% from the last closing price of $208.39.
Extracted: $200.00, $235.00, $208.39Open source
Crane Consensus Estimates (CR) - Investing.com NG
Search result #6
Crane has a potential Upside of +9.13%, based on analysts' average price target. How Has Crane Stock Performed Over the Past 52 Weeks?
Open source

Scenarios

Bull Target (Scenario probability)

$247 / p=20% prob

Base Target (Scenario probability)

$214 / p=60% prob

Bear Target (Scenario probability)

$173 / p=20% prob

Price $182 as of 2026-06-01

Nearest Scenario: Bear (∆ 5%)

Targets vs latest close: Bull +36% · Base +18% · Bear -5%

Sentiment & Exposure

Sentiment unavailable: insufficient coverage

Events

Other notable items detected

EVENT2026-04-27
Analyst target re-ratings
A concentrated round of analyst upgrades could push consensus toward the upper range of published targets; assumption: re-rating occurs after the next reporting cycle and into the quarter's end [#SERP-2][#SERP-5].
Prob 50.00% • Move 10.00% • Priced-in 50.00%

Short-term Catalysts

Next few weeks

Quarterly earnings beat and guidance raise
2026-04-27
Post-quarter earnings beat driven by industrial aftermarket and backlog could prompt a re-rate; assumes analysts revise estimates in the coming quarter [#SERP-1][#SERP-3].
Prob 35% • Move 8% • Priced-in 45%

Long-term Catalysts

Months to a year

Sustained margin expansion and mix shift
2027-01-27
Execution of cost actions and favorable mix toward aerospace/defense and aftermarket sales could materially expand margins over a 12-month horizon, supporting higher valuation multiples [#SERP-4].
Prob 30% • Move 25% • Priced-in 60%

Risks

Backlog erosion or unexpected contract cancellations
Commodity and input-cost inflation compressing margins
Execution risk on margin-improvement initiatives
Macroeconomic slowdown reducing industrial orders

Peers

Symbol	Summary
PH	Global motion-control and aerospace exposure with similar cyclicality and significant aftermarket revenue.
FLS	Flow-control and industrial services peer; sensitive to industrial capex cycles and aftermarket demand.
CW	Engineering and defense-oriented peer with comparable exposure to aerospace/defense end markets and precision manufacturing.

Sources

Internal and external references used in this analysis

Model source: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Human targets: serper
Targets query: Crane Co Common (CR) analyst consensus price target high low average
Analysis date: 2026-01-27