CODA

Rating neutralAI Memo

Coda Octopus Group

As of 2026-03-18/Confidence medium/Horizon 3m

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Data freshness

AI Memo

As of 2026-03-18 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Decision Panel

Action, confidence, horizon, and decision blockers at a glance.

Action

neutral

Confidence

medium

Horizon

Key catalyst

Monitor next quarterly release for revenue/guide vs FY2025 momentum • 2026-06-16

Expected move: +46%

Biggest risk

If product cyclicality and narrow market niche keep top-line growth uneven and margin improvement stalls, multiple compression and execution risk could push the stock toward the low teens or single-digit downside.

Invalidation

Break below $10 or thesis failure.

What would change my mind?

If Coda converts FY2025 revenue momentum into a materially higher mix of recurring software and higher-margin marine-tech systems, the market could re-rate toward premium small-cap hardware peers and justify >25% upside to the anchor.

Research note

Recommendation

neutral

Confidence

medium

As of

2026-03-18

Base target

$14

p=50%

Bull target

$17

p=20%

Bear target

$10

p=30%

Key bullets

Fast scan of bull, bear, and watch items

BullKey bullets

Monitor next quarterly release for revenue/guide vs FY2025 momentum
Execution on FY2025-stated growth drivers (marine tech / software mix)
If Coda converts FY2025 revenue momentum into a materially higher mix of recurring software and higher-margin marine-tech systems, the market could re-rate toward premium small-cap hardware peers and justify >25% upside to the anchor.

BearKey bullets

Concentrated customer or project timing risk
Execution on software/recurring revenue mix
Small-cap liquidity and analyst coverage thinness

WatchKey bullets

ANCHOR: {"price": 13.5, "timestamp_utc": "2026-03-18T13:09:04+00:00", "source": "broker_last"} ANALYST_TARGETS_REVIEWED: true Our base target (14.0) sits essentially at the analyst median (14.0) and within the published analyst range (low 11.22 — high 14.06); bull assumes above-consensus margin/recurring-revenue progress, bear assumes execution setbacks.

Summary

High-level snapshot

Recommendation

neutral

Model confidence

medium

Timeframe

Asset

Equity

Trigger

Base case: $14 (p=50%)

Bull/Bear spread: +77% / +4%

Vs latest close: Bull +77% · Base +46% · Bear +4%

Scenario probabilities

Bull Target: $17 (p=20%)Base Target: $14 (p=50%)Bear Target: $10 (p=30%)

Commentary

Market commentary is mixed but leaning neutral-positive after recent results and the March filings; limited analyst coverage centers on a $14 median target and recent positive press around FY2025 results [#10-K-2026-01-29] [#SERP-1]. Retail/short-term flows may dominate moves given low float and market cap [#SERP-8].

As of 2026-03-18 • Updated bi-weekly / post-earningsSource: Internal modelMethodology

Analyst Summary

Thesis highlights from the latest analysis

Bull Case

Bear Case

Drivers

Scannable catalysts and supporting factors

Monitor next quarterly release for revenue/guide vs FY2025 momentum
Execution on FY2025-stated growth drivers (marine tech / software mix)

Human Analyst Targets

External snippets for comparison only; verify at source.

Unverified externalLast fetched 2026-03-18Source quality: external scrape

External snippets are unverified; treat as directional signals only. Always confirm with the original provider.

Inline RA est

Provider

serper

Median (USD)

$14.00

Range (USD)

$11.22 - $14.06

Count

Query: Coda Octopus Group Inc Common (CODA) analyst consensus price target high low average

Coda Octopus Group, Inc.: Target Price Consensus and Analysts ...
Search result #1
Analysts' Consensus ; Last Close Price. 14.06USD ; Average target price. 14.00USD ; Spread / Average Target. -0.43% ; High Price Target. 14.00USD ; Spread / Highest ...
Extracted: $14.06, $14.00Open source
Coda Octopus Group Inc Consensus Estimates (CODA)
Search result #2
According to projections from 1 analysts, the average 12-month price target for Coda Octopus is 14.000 USD, with a high estimate of 14 USD and a low estimate of ...
Extracted: $14.00Open source
CODA OCTOPUS GROUP INC (CODA) Stock Analyst Ratings
Search result #3
7 analysts have analysed CODA and the average price target is 11.22 USD. This implies a price decrease of -14.38% is expected in the next year compared to the ...
Extracted: $11.22Open source
Coda Octopus Group Inc. (CODA) Stock Forecast & Price Prediction
Search result #7
Based on our analysis of 1 Wall Street analyst, CODA has a bullish consensus with a median price target of $14.00 (ranging from $14.00 to $14.00). The overall ...
Extracted: $14.00Open source
Coda Octopus Group (CODA) Stock Forecast & Analyst Price Targets
Search result #9
There have not been any analyst price target forecasts for Coda Octopus Group in the last 12 months. Price Target: n/a. Analyst Consensus: n/a ...
Open source
Why The Narrative Around Coda Octopus Group (CODA) Is Shifting ...
Search result #8
Alliance Global lifted its price target for Coda Octopus Group by $3 to $14.0 per share, which it describes as better aligned with its updated ...
Extracted: $3.00, $14.00Open source5 days ago

Scenarios

Bull Target (Scenario probability)

$17 / p=20% prob

Base Target (Scenario probability)

$14 / p=50% prob

Bear Target (Scenario probability)

$10 / p=30% prob

Price $10 as of 2026-06-26

Nearest Scenario: Bear (∆ 4%)

Targets vs latest close: Bull +77% · Base +46% · Bear +4%

Sentiment & Exposure

Sentiment unavailable: insufficient coverage

Short-term Catalysts

Next few weeks

Monitor next quarterly release for revenue/guide vs FY2025 momentum
2026-06-16
Company filed a 10-Q covering period ended 2026-01-31 on 2026-03-17; market will reprice on the subsequent quarterly results (monitoring sales mix and guidance versus FY2025 momentum) [#10-Q-2026-03-17] (assumes next public quarter release) .
Prob 60% • Move 8% • Priced-in 30%

Long-term Catalysts

Months to a year

Execution on FY2025-stated growth drivers (marine tech / software mix)
2027-03-18
The 10-K for FY2025 (filed 2026-01-29) highlights growth drivers in the Core Business and momentum cited in the FY2025 press release; a sustained shift to higher-margin software/recurring revenue over the next 12 months would be a company-specific re-rating lever [#10-K-2026-01-29] (long-term execution catalyst).
Prob 35% • Move 35% • Priced-in 10%

Risks

Concentrated customer or project timing risk
Execution on software/recurring revenue mix
Small-cap liquidity and analyst coverage thinness

Peers

Symbol	Summary
AMPG	Small-cap hardware vendor with similar market-cap scale and exposure to niche RF/hardware; useful for small-cap hardware demand signaling.
SNT	Lower-midcap systems provider; comparable in device/system sales cadence and enterprise customer cycles.
GNSS	Small tech-hardware peer with product-focused revenue streams and similar disclosure frequency—proxy for hardware/software mix trends.

Sources

Internal and external references used in this analysis

Model source: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Human targets: serper
Targets query: Coda Octopus Group Inc Common (CODA) analyst consensus price target high low average
Analysis date: 2026-03-18

AI Stock Memo: CODA - Coda Octopus Group - RankAlpha