CMBT

Rating buyAI Memo

CMB.TECH

As of 2026-01-27/Confidence medium

Open ticker Back to Memos

Data freshness

AI Memo

As of 2026-01-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Decision Panel

Action, confidence, horizon, and decision blockers at a glance.

Action

buy

Confidence

medium

Horizon

—

Key catalyst

12‑month analyst target re‑consensus • 2026-04-27

Expected move: -14%

Biggest risk

Revenue or margin setbacks and weaker guidance push analysts toward the low end (~11.50), with limited liquidity amplifying downside.

Invalidation

Break below $12 or thesis failure.

What would change my mind?

Sustained revenue growth and margin recovery drive multiple expansion toward the analyst high (14.48) as execution validates higher estimates.

Research note

Recommendation

buy

Confidence

medium

As of

2026-01-27

Base target

$13

p=55%

Bull target

$14

p=25%

Bear target

$12

p=20%

Key bullets

Fast scan of bull, bear, and watch items

BullKey bullets

FY2025 / Q4 results and post‑earnings analyst revisions
Multi‑quarter execution and margin improvement
Sustained revenue growth and margin recovery drive multiple expansion toward the analyst high (14.48) as execution validates higher estimates.

BearKey bullets

Analyst downgrades / target cuts
Disappointing FY2025 results or weak guidance
Execution delays in commercial scale‑up

WatchKey bullets

12‑month analyst target re‑consensus

Summary

High-level snapshot

Recommendation

buy

Model confidence

medium

Timeframe

Asset

Equity

Trigger

Base case: $13 (p=55%)

Bull/Bear spread: -2% / -22%

Vs latest close: Bull -2% · Base -14% · Bear -22%

Scenario probabilities

Bull Target: $14 (p=25%)Base Target: $13 (p=55%)Bear Target: $12 (p=20%)

Commentary

Aggregated analyst targets show a modestly constructive median above the current price but a narrow spread, implying limited upside concentrated near the high target. Near‑term sentiment hinges on the upcoming quarterly print and subsequent analyst responses.

As of 2026-01-27 • Updated bi-weekly / post-earningsSource: Internal modelMethodology

Analyst Summary

Thesis highlights from the latest analysis

Bull Case

Sustained revenue growth and margin recovery drive multiple expansion toward the analyst high (14.48) as execution validates higher estimates.

Bear Case

Revenue or margin setbacks and weaker guidance push analysts toward the low end (~11.50), with limited liquidity amplifying downside.

Drivers

Scannable catalysts and supporting factors

FY2025 / Q4 results and post‑earnings analyst revisions
Multi‑quarter execution and margin improvement

Human Analyst Targets

External snippets for comparison only; verify at source.

Unverified externalLast fetched 2026-01-27Source quality: external scrape

External snippets are unverified; treat as directional signals only. Always confirm with the original provider.

Inline RA est

Provider

serper

Median (USD)

$12.65

Range (USD)

$11.50 - $14.48

Count

Query: CMB.TECH NV Common (CMBT) analyst consensus price target high low average

CMB.TECH NV: Target Price Consensus and Analysts ...
Search result #1
Spread / Average Target. +8.69%. High Price Target. 13.46USD. Spread / Highest target. +15.83%. Low Price Target. 11.57USD. Spread / Lowest Target. -0.41% ...
Extracted: $13.46, $11.57Open source
CMB TECH NV (CMBT) Stock Analyst Ratings - Chartmill
Search result #2
12 analysts have analysed CMBT and the average price target is 13.16 USD. This implies a price increase of 14.19% is expected in the next year compared to the ...
Extracted: $13.16Open source
CMBT | CMB.TECH N.V. Analyst Estimates - MarketWatch
Search result #3
Stock Price Targets. High, $14.00. Median, $12.43. Low, $11.50. Average, $12.67. Current Price, $11.52. Yearly Numbers. Estimates. CMBT will report 2025 ...
Extracted: $14.00, $12.43, $11.50, $12.67, $11.52Open source
CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) Stock, Price, News, Quotes, Forecast ... - MSN
Search result #4
CMBT is rated "Buy" with a 12-month target price of $12.63, a ‎9.64% upside from the current price of $11.52. See more. Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy.
Extracted: $12.63, $11.52Open source
CMBT - Cmb.Tech NV (NYSE) - Share Price and News - Fintel
Search result #5
The average one-year price target for Cmb.Tech NV is $13.16. The forecasts range from a low of $12.01 to a high of $14.48. A stock's price target is the price ...
Extracted: $13.16, $12.01, $14.48Open source
Cmb.Tech NV (CMBT) Analyst Ratings, Estimates & Forecasts
Search result #6
See Cmb.Tech NV (CMBT) stock analyst estimates, including earnings and revenue, EPS, upgrades and downgrades.
Open source

Scenarios

Bull Target (Scenario probability)

$14 / p=25% prob

Base Target (Scenario probability)

$13 / p=55% prob

Bear Target (Scenario probability)

$12 / p=20% prob

Price $15 as of 2026-06-02

Nearest Scenario: Bull (∆ 2%)

Targets vs latest close: Bull -2% · Base -14% · Bear -22%

Sentiment & Exposure

Sentiment unavailable: insufficient coverage

Events

Other notable items detected

EVENT2026-04-27
12‑month analyst target re‑consensus
Quarterly consensus refreshes could reprice the stock within a 12‑month window as analysts update targets.
Prob 50.00% • Move 15.00% • Priced-in 30.00%

Short-term Catalysts

Next few weeks

FY2025 / Q4 results and post‑earnings analyst revisions
2026-04-27
FY2025 results and guidance will likely prompt analyst updates and reorder near‑term expectations.
Prob 60% • Move 12% • Priced-in 40%

Long-term Catalysts

Months to a year

Multi‑quarter execution and margin improvement
2027-01-27
Sustained roadmap execution and margin recovery would support re‑rating over a year if commercial traction materializes.
Prob 25% • Move 40% • Priced-in 10%

Risks

Analyst downgrades / target cuts
Disappointing FY2025 results or weak guidance
Execution delays in commercial scale‑up
Market liquidity amplifying volatility

Peers

No peer data

Sources

Internal and external references used in this analysis

Model source: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Human targets: serper
Targets query: CMB.TECH NV Common (CMBT) analyst consensus price target high low average
Analysis date: 2026-01-27

AI Stock Memo: CMBT - CMB.TECH - RankAlpha