CBRE

Rating buyAI Memo

CBRE Group

As of 2026-02-14/Confidence high

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Data freshness

AI Memo

As of 2026-02-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Decision Panel

Action, confidence, horizon, and decision blockers at a glance.

Action

buy

Confidence

high

Horizon

—

Key catalyst

Next quarterly earnings (assumed) • 2026-05-15

Expected move: +47%

Biggest risk

Prolonged cap‑rate widening, weak transaction volumes, or material fee compression could leave shares near the low analyst bound (~136.28).

Invalidation

Break below $136 or thesis failure.

What would change my mind?

Faster transaction-volume recovery, margin gains from tech/managed services, and multiple expansion toward broker highs could drive shares toward 212.

Research note

Recommendation

buy

Confidence

high

As of

2026-02-14

Base target

$184

p=55%

Bull target

$212

p=25%

Bear target

$136

p=20%

Key bullets

Fast scan of bull, bear, and watch items

BullKey bullets

Analyst target revisions
CRE fundamentals normalization
Faster transaction-volume recovery, margin gains from tech/managed services, and multiple expansion toward broker highs could drive shares toward 212.

BearKey bullets

Clustered analyst downgrades or guidance cuts
Regulatory or litigation headlines impacting fee businesses
Sustained CRE transaction weakness and cap‑rate widening

WatchKey bullets

Next quarterly earnings (assumed)

Summary

High-level snapshot

Recommendation

buy

Model confidence

high

Timeframe

Asset

Equity

Trigger

Base case: $184 (p=55%)

Bull/Bear spread: +70% / +9%

Vs latest close: Bull +70% · Base +47% · Bear +9%

Scenario probabilities

Bull Target: $212 (p=25%)Base Target: $184 (p=55%)Bear Target: $136 (p=20%)

Commentary

Analyst consensus skews positive versus the anchor with a median near the base target; short-term sentiment is headline-sensitive and tied to earnings and broker notes [#SERP-2], [#SERP-4].

As of 2026-02-14 • Updated bi-weekly / post-earningsSource: Internal modelMethodology

Analyst Summary

Thesis highlights from the latest analysis

Bull Case

Faster transaction-volume recovery, margin gains from tech/managed services, and multiple expansion toward broker highs could drive shares toward 212.

Bear Case

Prolonged cap‑rate widening, weak transaction volumes, or material fee compression could leave shares near the low analyst bound (~136.28).

Drivers

Scannable catalysts and supporting factors

Analyst target revisions
CRE fundamentals normalization

Human Analyst Targets

External snippets for comparison only; verify at source.

Unverified externalLast fetched 2026-02-14Source quality: external scrape

External snippets are unverified; treat as directional signals only. Always confirm with the original provider.

Inline RA est

Provider

serper

Median (USD)

$183.61

Range (USD)

$136.28 - $212.00

Count

Query: CBRE Group Inc Class A Common (CBRE) analyst consensus price target high low average

CBRE Group Inc CBRE Stock Forecast & Price Target - Yahoo Finance
Search result #1
CBRE Group Inc (CBRE) stock forecast and price target ; CBRE: Lowering target price to $167.00. neutral. Rating: Maintained. Price Target: ...
Extracted: $167.00Open source
CBRE / CBRE Group, Inc. (NYSE) - Forecast, Price Target, Estimates ...
Search result #2
The average one-year price target for CBRE Group, Inc. is $182.22. The forecasts range from a low of $155.54 to a high of $206.85. Read More.
Extracted: $182.22, $155.54, $206.85Open source
CBRE Group, Inc.: Target Price Consensus and Analysts ...
Search result #3
Analysts' recommendations: CBRE Group, Inc. · Evercore ISI Adjusts CBRE Group Price Target to $190 From $186 · UBS Adjusts CBRE Group Price Target to $175 From ...
Extracted: $190.00, $186.00, $175.00Open source
CBRE Group Inc. Cl A Analyst Estimates & Ratings – WSJ
Search result #4
Stock Price Target CBRE. High, $212.00. Median, $187.00. Low, $170.00. Average, $187.44. Current Price, $136.28. Related Links: Options · Overview · Research & ...
Extracted: $212.00, $187.00, $170.00, $187.44, $136.28Open source
CBRE Stock Quote Price and Forecast | CNN
Search result #5
The price of CBRE shares has increased $6.03 since the market last closed. This is a 4.42% rise. Closed at $142.31. The stock has since risen $0.09 in after ...
Extracted: $6.03, $142.31Open source
CBRE Stock Price | Analyst Target 186.00 & Consensus - eToro
Search result #6
The current price of CBRE is ‎$‎154.73. What is CBRE Group Inc's stock future price target? +. The average price target for CBRE Group Inc is ‎$‎186.00. Sign ...
Open source

Scenarios

Bull Target (Scenario probability)

$212 / p=25% prob

Base Target (Scenario probability)

$184 / p=55% prob

Bear Target (Scenario probability)

$136 / p=20% prob

Price $125 as of 2026-05-29

Nearest Scenario: Bear (∆ 9%)

Targets vs latest close: Bull +70% · Base +47% · Bear +9%

Sentiment & Exposure

Sentiment unavailable: insufficient coverage

Events

Other notable items detected

EVENT2026-05-15
Next quarterly earnings (assumed)
Quarterly results and management commentary can reset guidance and near-term multiple; date assumed within analyst revision window. Sources: broker notes and coverage summaries [#SERP-4], [#SERP-2].
Prob 70.00% • Move 8.00% • Priced-in 40.00%

Short-term Catalysts

Next few weeks

Analyst target revisions
2026-05-15
Clustered broker updates could drive re-rating or headline flows; recent targets span low-to-high with a visible median. See recent consensus activity [#SERP-1], [#SERP-2].
Prob 60% • Move 12% • Priced-in 35%

Long-term Catalysts

Months to a year

CRE fundamentals normalization
2027-02-14
Multi-quarter recovery in leasing and cap‑rate compression could materially lift fees and valuation; timing set conservatively at ~1 year. Relevant consensus context [#SERP-2], [#SERP-4].
Prob 55% • Move 25% • Priced-in 20%

Risks

Clustered analyst downgrades or guidance cuts
Regulatory or litigation headlines impacting fee businesses
Sustained CRE transaction weakness and cap‑rate widening

Peers

Symbol	Summary
JLL	Global CRE services competitor with similar brokerage, advisory, and capital-markets exposure.
CIGI	Colliers — diversified services and property management exposure; comparable sensitivity to leasing cycles.
NMRK	Newmark — US-focused brokerage and tech-enabled services; useful contrast on scale and margin mix.

Sources

Internal and external references used in this analysis

Model source: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Human targets: serper
Targets query: CBRE Group Inc Class A Common (CBRE) analyst consensus price target high low average
Analysis date: 2026-02-14

AI Stock Memo: CBRE - CBRE Group - RankAlpha